IDEA #6M0UTW Software For Long-Term Electricity Generation Forecasting

APPLIED RESEARCH • ENERGYAND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH SOFTWARE FOR LONG(cid:2)(cid:2)TERM ELECTRICITY GENERATION FORECASTING Description One of the main factors of investment efficiency of wind farms construction projects is wind potential. Due to this it is of utmost importance to carefully forecast wind based electricity generation at wind farms. Methodical software for long(cid:2)term electricity generation forecasting has been suggested for a specific region, including setting up maps for electricity gener(cid:2) ation in the region. Innovative Aspects and Main Advantages • Estimation of territory distribution representativeness as for wind parameters in the region; • Upgrading mathematical models and methods for defining potential electricity production by modern wind turbines due to data recorded by different devices and different registration methods; • Developing methods for electricity generation on the site if there are any available obstacles to wind flows; • Creating methods of “wind energy” cartography. Pic 1. Map of electricity production by wind turbine T600(cid:2)48 in the Crimea, example. Area ooff Application Stage ooff development The developed methods and being the part of software and will be implemented for improving quality of adopted decisions as for wins farms construction on the stage of searching for adequate wind farm sites. There have been developed a concept for suggested system, and necessary calculations for the Crimean peninsular have been made (picture 1.) Contact details Stepan Kudrya, Dr. of Sciences, professor. Inter(cid:2)branch scientific and technical centre for wind power at NAS of Ukraine. Address: Chervonogvardijska 20a, 02094, Kyiv, Ukraine. Tel./fax +38 044 537 26 57, +38 044 206 28 09 e(cid:2)mail: mntc@mbox.com.ua website: www.windpower.com.ua 94